Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 16.388311 18.778441 21.572815 25.127398 29.597534 35.130209 42.657485
2025-02-16 13.697273 16.679711 20.507751 25.938748 33.729788 45.010627 63.693946
2025-02-23 11.895684 15.049841 19.349305 25.919342 36.289487 53.274925 86.684859
2025-03-02 10.624959 13.827635 18.395839 25.794945 38.429393 61.490139 115.056156
2025-03-09 9.772184 13.028418 17.859242 26.102036 41.249400 72.028207 157.770322
2025-03-16 8.822285 11.952125 16.719847 25.152581 41.483421 77.457019 193.898291
2025-03-23 8.223545 11.326729 16.185837 25.115109 43.431369 87.704661 260.962515
2025-03-30 7.522063 10.468674 15.163777 24.006945 42.850535 91.417382 310.911815
2025-04-06 6.875016 9.640089 14.102016 22.659471 41.420922 92.230624 351.024519
2025-04-13 6.360607 8.983450 13.268066 21.632349 40.496948 94.238015 406.277462
2025-04-20 6.472901 9.345345 14.217874 24.273720 49.134716 133.460350 975.680284
2025-04-27 6.313254 9.239416 14.321236 25.189439 53.759583 163.752467 2027.014120
2025-05-04 5.873886 8.645139 13.505634 24.059214 52.554137 168.815158 2837.765157
2025-05-11 5.709040 8.511849 13.540537 24.852431 57.412978 211.285956 10807.466409
2025-05-18 5.466997 8.223743 13.248161 24.835660 59.775998 244.950123 70932.311352
2025-05-25 5.237147 7.940113 12.935845 24.718786 61.805856 281.787705 NaN
2025-06-01 5.068248 7.753402 12.796676 25.007449 65.466649 342.800456 NaN
2025-06-08 4.800693 7.370430 12.228091 24.114673 64.342838 358.070768 NaN
2025-06-15 4.633602 7.161974 11.999889 24.079419 66.673501 420.485208 NaN
2025-06-22 4.389352 6.797626 11.421954 23.036207 64.489258 422.839843 NaN
2025-06-29 4.140748 6.414619 10.783335 21.765983 61.041614 402.793240 NaN
2025-07-06 3.933219 6.100122 10.271990 20.796432 58.707234 396.717226 NaN
2025-07-13 4.027453 6.354910 10.979130 23.287461 73.037900 760.369746 NaN